College

You wish to determine if there is a linear correlation between the two variables at a significance level of [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex]. You have the following bivariate data set:

[tex]
\[
\begin{array}{|r|r|}
\hline
\text{x} & \text{y} \\
\hline
26.8 & 64.2 \\
32.8 & 59.1 \\
45.6 & 52.6 \\
37.7 & 58.8 \\
37.6 & 54.9 \\
27.4 & 61.9 \\
31.7 & 62.3 \\
30 & 59.9 \\
29.8 & 58 \\
30.9 & 64.8 \\
10 & 82.6 \\
35.3 & 51.7 \\
42.8 & 53 \\
18 & 69.9 \\
27.6 & 58.3 \\
57.4 & 35.3 \\
48.2 & 53.1 \\
\hline
\end{array}
\]
[/tex]

1. What is the critical value for this hypothesis test?
- [tex]r_{c x} = \square[/tex]

2. What is the correlation coefficient for this data set?
- [tex]r = \square[/tex]

3. Your final conclusion is that:
- There is sufficient sample evidence to support the claim that there is a statistically significant correlation between the two variables.
- There is insufficient sample evidence to support the claim that there is a correlation between the two variables.

*Note: Round to three decimal places when necessary.*

Answer :

We are given a sample of 17 paired observations, so the degrees of freedom for the correlation test is

[tex]$$
df = n - 2 = 17 - 2 = 15.
$$[/tex]

Because we are testing a two‐tailed hypothesis at a significance level of [tex]$\alpha = 0.05$[/tex], the critical value of the [tex]$t$[/tex] statistic comes from

[tex]$$
t_{\alpha/2, 15} = t_{0.975,15}.
$$[/tex]

A standard [tex]$t$[/tex]–table (or calculator) shows that

[tex]$$
t_{0.975,15} \approx 2.131.
$$[/tex]

There is a relationship between the [tex]$t$[/tex] statistic and the sample Pearson correlation coefficient [tex]$r$[/tex] given by

[tex]$$
t = r \sqrt{\frac{df}{1-r^2}}.
$$[/tex]

Hence, the critical correlation coefficient (in absolute value) is the [tex]$r$[/tex] value that would give [tex]$t_{critical}$[/tex] when the equality holds. Solving for [tex]$r$[/tex], we have

[tex]$$
r_c = \sqrt{\frac{t_{critical}^2}{t_{critical}^2 + df}}.
$$[/tex]

Plug in the numbers:

[tex]$$
r_c = \sqrt{\frac{(2.131)^2}{(2.131)^2 + 15}}.
$$[/tex]

First, calculate [tex]$(2.131)^2$[/tex]:

[tex]$$
(2.131)^2 \approx 4.543.
$$[/tex]

Then add the degrees of freedom:

[tex]$$
4.543 + 15 = 19.543.
$$[/tex]

Thus,

[tex]$$
r_c = \sqrt{\frac{4.543}{19.543}} \approx \sqrt{0.2325} \approx 0.482.
$$[/tex]

This is the critical correlation value. In other words, if the absolute value of the sample correlation coefficient is greater than approximately 0.482, it is significant at the [tex]$\alpha=0.05$[/tex] level.

Next, we compute the Pearson correlation coefficient, [tex]$r$[/tex], from the given data:

[tex]\[
\begin{array}{|r|r|}
\hline
x & y \\ \hline
26.8 & 64.2 \\
32.8 & 59.1 \\
45.6 & 52.6 \\
37.7 & 58.8 \\
37.6 & 54.9 \\
27.4 & 61.9 \\
31.7 & 62.3 \\
30.0 & 59.9 \\
29.8 & 58.0 \\
30.9 & 64.8 \\
10.0 & 82.6 \\
35.3 & 51.7 \\
42.8 & 53.0 \\
18.0 & 69.9 \\
27.6 & 58.3 \\
57.4 & 35.3 \\
48.2 & 53.1 \\
\hline
\end{array}
\][/tex]

Going through the calculation (or using an appropriate calculator/software), one finds that

[tex]$$
r \approx -0.927.
$$[/tex]

This means that there is a very strong negative linear relationship between [tex]$x$[/tex] and [tex]$y$[/tex]. Notice that

[tex]$$
|r| = 0.927 > 0.482 = r_c.
$$[/tex]

Since the absolute value of the sample correlation coefficient exceeds the critical value, we conclude that there is a statistically significant correlation between the two variables at the [tex]$\alpha=0.05$[/tex] level.

To summarize:

1. The critical value for the correlation coefficient is
[tex]$$
r_c \approx 0.482.
$$[/tex]

2. The sample correlation coefficient is
[tex]$$
r \approx -0.927.
$$[/tex]

3. Final conclusion: There is sufficient sample evidence to support the claim that there is a statistically significant correlation between the two variables.