High School

The mean yield for one-acre plot is 562 kilos with standard deviation 32 kilos.

Assuming normal distribution, how many one-acre plots in a batch of 1,000 plots would you expect to have yield (i) over 700 kilos (ii) below 650 kilos and (iii) what is the lowest yield of the best 100 plots?

Answer :

To solve this problem, we'll use the properties of the normal distribution. The mean yield for a one-acre plot is given as [tex]\mu = 562[/tex] kilos and the standard deviation as [tex]\sigma = 32[/tex] kilos.

(i) Yield Over 700 Kilos:

First, determine the z-score for 700 kilos using the formula:

[tex]z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

Substitute the given values:

[tex]z = \frac{700 - 562}{32} = \frac{138}{32} \approx 4.31[/tex]

Using the z-table, a z-score of 4.31 is extremely high, much higher than typical values found within z-tables (often only up to 3.49), resulting in a probability very close to 0. This implies that practically no plots would exceed 700 kilos in yield; statistically, it would be less than one plot.

(ii) Yield Below 650 Kilos:

Calculate the z-score for 650 kilos:

[tex]z = \frac{650 - 562}{32} = \frac{88}{32} = 2.75[/tex]

Using a z-table, a z-score of 2.75 corresponds to a probability of about 0.9960. This implies that around 99.60% of the plots would have a yield below 650 kilos. Hence, in a batch of 1,000 plots, you would expect:

[tex]0.9960 \times 1000 \approx 996 \text{ plots}[/tex]

(iii) Lowest Yield of the Best 100 Plots:

To find the lowest yield of the best 100 plots, determine the top 10% yield (as 100 plots is 10% of 1,000 plots). The top 10% corresponds to the 90th percentile.

The z-score for the 90th percentile is approximately 1.28. Use the z-score formula to find the corresponding yield:

[tex]X = \mu + z \times \sigma[/tex]

[tex]X = 562 + 1.28 \times 32[/tex]

[tex]X = 562 + 40.96 \approx 603[/tex] kilos

Thus, the lowest yield among the top 100 plots is approximately 603 kilos.