College

The chart to the right shows a country's annual egg production. Model the data in the chart with a linear function, using the points [tex]\((0, 51.7)\)[/tex] and [tex]\((4, 60.3)\)[/tex]. Let [tex]\(x = 0\)[/tex] represent 1994, [tex]\(x = 1\)[/tex] represent 1995, and so on, and let [tex]\(y\)[/tex] represent the egg production (in billions). Predict egg production in 2000. How does the result compare to the actual data given in the table, 69.7?

[tex]
\[
\begin{tabular}{|c|c|}
\hline
Year & \begin{tabular}{c}
Egg production \\
(in billions)
\end{tabular} \\
\hline
1994 & 51.7 \\
\hline
1995 & 52.5 \\
\hline
1996 & 54.3 \\
\hline
1997 & 57.2 \\
\hline
1998 & 60.3 \\
\hline
1999 & 63.8 \\
\hline
2000 & 69.7 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\]
[/tex]

The linear model for the data is [tex]\(\square\)[/tex].

(Type an equation using [tex]\(x\)[/tex] as the variable. Type your answer in slope-intercept form. Use integers or decimals for any numbers in the equation. Round to the nearest thousandth as needed.)

Answer :

To solve this problem, we need to create a linear model using the provided data points and then use that model to predict egg production for the year 2000. Let's go through the steps:

1. Identify the Points:
We have two points given in the problem:
- Point 1: [tex]\((0, 51.7)\)[/tex], corresponding to the year 1994.
- Point 2: [tex]\((4, 60.3)\)[/tex], corresponding to the year 1998.

2. Calculate the Slope (m):
The slope [tex]\(m\)[/tex] of a line through two points [tex]\((x_1, y_1)\)[/tex] and [tex]\((x_2, y_2)\)[/tex] is calculated with the formula:
[tex]\[
m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1}
\][/tex]
Substituting the given points:
[tex]\[
m = \frac{60.3 - 51.7}{4 - 0} = \frac{8.6}{4} = 2.150
\][/tex]

3. Find the y-intercept (b):
To find the y-intercept [tex]\(b\)[/tex], we use the equation of a line in slope-intercept form, [tex]\(y = mx + b\)[/tex]. We can substitute the slope and one of the points into this equation to solve for [tex]\(b\)[/tex]. Using the point [tex]\((0, 51.7)\)[/tex]:
[tex]\[
51.7 = 2.150 \cdot 0 + b
\][/tex]
Solving for [tex]\(b\)[/tex],
[tex]\[
b = 51.7
\][/tex]

4. Write the Equation of the Line:
The equation of the linear model is:
[tex]\[
y = 2.150x + 51.700
\][/tex]

5. Predict Egg Production in 2000:
The year 2000 corresponds to [tex]\(x = 6\)[/tex]. We substitute [tex]\(x = 6\)[/tex] into the linear equation to find the predicted egg production:
[tex]\[
y = 2.150 \cdot 6 + 51.700 = 12.9 + 51.7 = 64.6
\][/tex]

6. Compare with Actual Data:
The predicted egg production for the year 2000 is 64.6 billion eggs. The actual data for the year 2000 shows an egg production of 69.7 billion eggs. The prediction is slightly lower than the actual production by about 5.1 billion eggs.

So, the linear model is [tex]\(y = 2.150x + 51.700\)[/tex] and the predicted egg production for 2000 is 64.6 billion eggs.