High School

Given an actual demand of 103, a previous forecast value of 99, and an alpha of 0.4, what is the exponential smoothing forecast for the next period?

A) 101.6
B) 100.6
C) 97.4

Answer :

Final answer:

The exponential smoothing forecast for the next period would be 100.6.

Explanation:

To calculate the exponential smoothing forecast for the next period, we use the formula:

Forecast = Previous Forecast + Alpha * (Actual Demand - Previous Forecast)

Given an alpha value of 0.4, an actual demand of 103, and a previous forecast value of 99, the calculation would be:

Forecast = 99 + 0.4 * (103 - 99) = 99 + 0.4 * 4 = 99 + 1.6 = 100.6

Therefore, the exponential smoothing forecast for the next period would be 100.6, which corresponds to option B.