High School

Given an actual demand this period of 103, a forecast value for this period of 99, and an alpha of 0.4, what is the exponential smoothing forecast for the next period?

A. 100.6
B. 101.6
C. 103.0
D. 94.6
E. 97.4

Answer :

Final Answer:

The exponential smoothing forecast for the next period is 100.6 (option a).

Explanation:

Exponential smoothing is a forecasting method that weighs recent data more heavily in making predictions. In this case:

Actual Demand this period (Dt) = 103

Forecast value for this period (Ft) = 99

Smoothing parameter (alpha) = 0.4

To calculate the exponential smoothing forecast for the next period (Ft+1), you use the formula:

Ft+1 = alpha * Dt + (1 - alpha) * Ft

Substituting the values:

Ft+1 = 0.4 * 103 + (1 - 0.4) * 99

Ft+1 = 41.2 + 59.4

Ft+1 = 100.6

So, the exponential smoothing forecast for the next period is 100.6. This means that for the next period, we anticipate a demand of approximately 100.6 units based on the given data.

Learn more about Exponential smoothing

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