Answer :
It would be surprising if 55 or more people in a random sample of 60 18-20 year olds have consumed alcoholic beverages, as the probability of this event occurring is only 0.0015.
(a) To calculate the number of people you would expect to have consumed alcoholic beverages, you need to multiply the sample size (60) by the percentage of 18-20 year olds who consumed alcoholic beverages (75%).
Expected number of people = Sample size * Percentage
Expected number of people = 60 * 0.75
Expected number of people = 45
So, you would expect 45 people to have consumed alcoholic beverages.
(b) To determine if it would be surprising to have 55 or more people who have consumed alcoholic beverages, we need to consider the standard deviation. The standard deviation measures the spread of the data around the mean.
Given that the standard deviation is 3.35, we can calculate the z-score for 55 people.
z = (x - mean) / standard deviation
z = (55 - 45) / 3.35
z = 10 / 3.35
z ≈ 2.99
The z-score of 2.99 indicates that 55 people is about 2 standard deviations away from the mean. Generally, events that are more than 2 standard deviations away from the mean are considered unusual or surprising. Therefore, it would be surprising to have 55 or more people who have consumed alcoholic beverages.
(c) To find the probability that 55 or more people in this sample have consumed alcoholic beverages, we can use the standard normal distribution table or a calculator. However, the provided probability of 41.25% is incorrect. The correct probability cannot be determined without knowing the specific values in the standard normal distribution table.
In summary, based on the given information, we would expect 45 people to have consumed alcoholic beverages out of a random sample of 60 18-20 year olds. It would be surprising to have 55 or more people who have consumed alcoholic beverages, as it is more than 2 standard deviations away from the mean. However, the exact probability cannot be determined without further information.
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