College

A population has a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 18. If a random sample of 64 is taken, what is the probability that the sample mean is each of the following?

a. Greater than 54
b. Less than 54
c. Less than 49
d. Between 48.5 and 53.5
e. Between 50.1 and 51.7

Use Appendix A Statistical Tables. (Round the values of [tex]$z$[/tex] to 2 decimal places, e.g., 15.25. Round your answers to 4 decimal places, e.g., 0.2513.)

a. [tex]$P(\bar{x}\ \textgreater \ 54)=$[/tex] [tex]$\square$[/tex]
b. [tex]$P(\bar{x}\ \textless \ 54)=$[/tex] [tex]$\square$[/tex]
c. [tex]$P(\bar{x}\ \textless \ 49)=$[/tex] [tex]$\square$[/tex]
d. [tex]$P(48.5 \leq \bar{x} \leq 53.5)=$[/tex] [tex]$\square$[/tex]
e. [tex]$P(50.1 \leq \bar{x} \leq 51.7)=$[/tex] [tex]$\square$[/tex]

Answer :

To solve this problem, we need to use the properties of the sampling distribution of the sample mean. When a random sample is taken from a population with a known mean and standard deviation, the sample mean follows a normal distribution if the sample size is sufficiently large. This distribution has a mean equal to the population mean and a standard deviation called the standard error, calculated as the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size.

Let's go through each part step-by-step:

### Given:
- Population Mean ([tex]\(\mu\)[/tex]) = 50
- Population Standard Deviation ([tex]\(\sigma\)[/tex]) = 18
- Sample Size ([tex]\(n\)[/tex]) = 64

### Standard Error:
The standard error (SE) is calculated using the formula:

[tex]\[ SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{18}{\sqrt{64}} = \frac{18}{8} = 2.25 \][/tex]

Now, let's calculate each probability:

### a. Probability that the sample mean is greater than 54:

1. Calculate the Z-score:

[tex]\[ z = \frac{54 - 50}{2.25} = \frac{4}{2.25} \approx 1.78 \][/tex]

2. Use the standard normal distribution to find the probability of Z being greater than 1.78. This is equivalent to:

[tex]\[ P(\bar{x} > 54) = 1 - P(Z < 1.78) = 0.0377 \][/tex]

### b. Probability that the sample mean is less than 54:

The probability that the sample mean is less than 54 is:

[tex]\[ P(\bar{x} < 54) = P(Z < 1.78) = 0.9623 \][/tex]

### c. Probability that the sample mean is less than 49:

1. Calculate the Z-score:

[tex]\[ z = \frac{49 - 50}{2.25} = \frac{-1}{2.25} \approx -0.44 \][/tex]

2. Find the probability:

[tex]\[ P(\bar{x} < 49) = P(Z < -0.44) = 0.3284 \][/tex]

### d. Probability that the sample mean is between 48.5 and 53.5:

1. Calculate the Z-scores for 48.5 and 53.5:

[tex]\[ z_1 = \frac{48.5 - 50}{2.25} \approx -0.67 \][/tex]

[tex]\[ z_2 = \frac{53.5 - 50}{2.25} \approx 1.56 \][/tex]

2. Calculate the probability:

[tex]\[ P(48.5 \leq \bar{x} \leq 53.5) = P(-0.67 \leq Z \leq 1.56) = P(Z < 1.56) - P(Z < -0.67) = 0.6876 \][/tex]

### e. Probability that the sample mean is between 50.1 and 51.7:

1. Calculate the Z-scores for 50.1 and 51.7:

[tex]\[ z_1 = \frac{50.1 - 50}{2.25} \approx 0.04 \][/tex]

[tex]\[ z_2 = \frac{51.7 - 50}{2.25} \approx 0.76 \][/tex]

2. Calculate the probability:

[tex]\[ P(50.1 \leq \bar{x} \leq 51.7) = P(0.04 \leq Z \leq 0.76) = P(Z < 0.76) - P(Z < 0.04) = 0.2573 \][/tex]

These calculations give us the probabilities for each scenario requested in the problem.