11. The Summer Olympics holds a swimming event called the [tex]$4 \times 100$[/tex] meter Medley Relay, where four different swimmers from the same country swim a race together, with each swimmer taking one of the four laps. The U.S. team has been training for the upcoming Olympics and has calculated each swimmer's mean and standard deviation for their lap, as shown below. Assume the swimmers' times are independent of each other and the distribution of each individual swimmer's times is approximately normally distributed.

[tex]
\[
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|}
\hline
Swimmer & Mean (seconds) & Standard Deviation (seconds) \\
\hline
A & 58.4 & 1.2 \\
B & 59.1 & 1.1 \\
C & 57.8 & 0.8 \\
D & 58.6 & 0.9 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\]
[/tex]

a.) Find the mean and standard deviation of the total time for the team to complete their [tex]$4 \times 100$[/tex] meter relay.

b.) Suppose the team's best time to date is 231.8 seconds. What is the probability the team will beat this time in the upcoming race?

c.) Swimmer D believes that he will complete his lap in the race faster than swimmer A. Determine the probability of this happening.

Answer :

Sure! Let's go through each part of the question step-by-step.

### a.) Find the mean and standard deviation of the total time for the team to complete their [tex]\(4 \times 100\)[/tex] meter relay.

Step 1: Finding the Mean
- We are given the mean times for each swimmer:
- Swimmer A: 58.4 seconds
- Swimmer B: 59.1 seconds
- Swimmer C: 57.8 seconds
- Swimmer D: 58.6 seconds

To find the total mean time for the relay, we add up the mean times of all the swimmers:
[tex]\[
\text{Total Mean} = 58.4 + 59.1 + 57.8 + 58.6 = 233.9 \text{ seconds}
\][/tex]

Step 2: Finding the Standard Deviation
- The standard deviations for each swimmer are given as:
- Swimmer A: 1.2 seconds
- Swimmer B: 1.1 seconds
- Swimmer C: 0.8 seconds
- Swimmer D: 0.9 seconds

Since the times are independent, we can find the total standard deviation by combining the variances (square of standard deviations) and taking the square root:
[tex]\[
\text{Variance (Total)} = (1.2)^2 + (1.1)^2 + (0.8)^2 + (0.9)^2 = 1.44 + 1.21 + 0.64 + 0.81 = 4.1
\][/tex]
[tex]\[
\text{Total Standard Deviation} = \sqrt{4.1} \approx 2.02 \text{ seconds}
\][/tex]

### b.) Probability the team will beat their best time of 231.8 seconds

- The mean total time is 233.9 seconds with a standard deviation of approximately 2.02 seconds.
- To find the probability of the team beating 231.8 seconds, calculate the z-score:

[tex]\[
z = \frac{231.8 - 233.9}{2.02} \approx -1.04
\][/tex]

Using the properties of the normal distribution, find the probability:

- A z-score of [tex]\(-1.04\)[/tex] corresponds to 0.1498 in the standard normal distribution table.
- Therefore, the probability of the team finishing faster than 231.8 seconds is:
[tex]\[
1 - 0.1498 = 0.8502
\][/tex]

### c.) Probability of Swimmer D completing faster than Swimmer A

- Swimmer A's mean time is 58.4 seconds with a standard deviation of 1.2 seconds.
- Swimmer D's mean time is 58.6 seconds with a standard deviation of 0.9 seconds.

Calculate the z-score for the difference:
- The difference in their mean times:
[tex]\[
\text{Mean Difference} = 58.4 - 58.6 = -0.2
\][/tex]

- The standard deviation of the difference, assuming independence, is calculated as follows:
[tex]\[
\text{Std. Dev (Difference)} = \sqrt{(1.2)^2 + (0.9)^2} = \sqrt{1.44 + 0.81} = \sqrt{2.25} = 1.5
\][/tex]

- Calculate the z-score for the difference:
[tex]\[
z = \frac{-0.2}{1.5} \approx -0.13
\][/tex]

Using the normal distribution table, the probability of obtaining a z-score less than [tex]\(-0.13\)[/tex] is approximately 0.4469, meaning Swimmer D has about a 44.7% chance of completing his lap faster than Swimmer A.

I hope this helps you understand how to approach and solve each part of the question!